Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district general election due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. Raskin secured over 92% in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who previously ran in 2024, prevailed in her primary but faces limited resources and name recognition. Raskin's fundraising exceeds $7 million compared to Riley's low five figures, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Traders price in these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$27,753 KL.
$27,753 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jamie Raskin (D)
96%
Cheryl Riley (R)
4%
$27,753 KL.
$27,753 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jamie Raskin (D)
$19,226 KL.
96%
Cheryl Riley (R)
$8,528 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district general election due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. Raskin secured over 92% in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who previously ran in 2024, prevailed in her primary but faces limited resources and name recognition. Raskin's fundraising exceeds $7 million compared to Riley's low five figures, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Traders price in these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,753Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district general election due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. Raskin secured over 92% in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who previously ran in 2024, prevailed in her primary but faces limited resources and name recognition. Raskin's fundraising exceeds $7 million compared to Riley's low five figures, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Traders price in these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,753Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jamie Raskin holds a commanding position in Maryland's 8th congressional district general election due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+30 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. Raskin secured over 92% in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who previously ran in 2024, prevailed in her primary but faces limited resources and name recognition. Raskin's fundraising exceeds $7 million compared to Riley's low five figures, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic. Traders price in these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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