Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race trader consensus following El-Sayed’s narrow August 4 Democratic primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest marked by divisions over health care and foreign policy. The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state narrowly carried by President Trump in 2024, yet recent polling including an EPIC-MRA survey from late August shows El-Sayed ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, driven by strength with younger voters and Medicare for All supporters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from his prior House experience and appeals in outstate areas, though independent and suburban blocs remain closely divided. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up, with both candidates actively courting key voting groups ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$622,293 KL.
$622,293 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
65%
Mike Rogers (R)
36%
$622,293 KL.
$622,293 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$341,340 KL.
65%
Mike Rogers (R)
$280,953 KL.
36%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race trader consensus following El-Sayed’s narrow August 4 Democratic primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest marked by divisions over health care and foreign policy. The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state narrowly carried by President Trump in 2024, yet recent polling including an EPIC-MRA survey from late August shows El-Sayed ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, driven by strength with younger voters and Medicare for All supporters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from his prior House experience and appeals in outstate areas, though independent and suburban blocs remain closely divided. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up, with both candidates actively courting key voting groups ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$622,293Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race trader consensus following El-Sayed’s narrow August 4 Democratic primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest marked by divisions over health care and foreign policy. The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state narrowly carried by President Trump in 2024, yet recent polling including an EPIC-MRA survey from late August shows El-Sayed ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, driven by strength with younger voters and Medicare for All supporters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from his prior House experience and appeals in outstate areas, though independent and suburban blocs remain closely divided. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up, with both candidates actively courting key voting groups ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$622,293Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race trader consensus following El-Sayed’s narrow August 4 Democratic primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest marked by divisions over health care and foreign policy. The open seat, vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state narrowly carried by President Trump in 2024, yet recent polling including an EPIC-MRA survey from late August shows El-Sayed ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, driven by strength with younger voters and Medicare for All supporters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from his prior House experience and appeals in outstate areas, though independent and suburban blocs remain closely divided. The race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up, with both candidates actively courting key voting groups ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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