Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana 2nd District House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including strong showings by the party in recent presidential and congressional contests. Downing secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary, while Democrat Brian Miller prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Race ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, supported by limited general-election polling that shows double-digit advantages for the incumbent and substantial fundraising disparities favoring the Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of significant late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
$45,343 KL.
$45,343 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Troy Downing (R)
95%
Brian Miller (D)
5%
$45,343 KL.
$45,343 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Troy Downing (R)
$26,444 KL.
95%
Brian Miller (D)
$18,899 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana 2nd District House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including strong showings by the party in recent presidential and congressional contests. Downing secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary, while Democrat Brian Miller prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Race ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, supported by limited general-election polling that shows double-digit advantages for the incumbent and substantial fundraising disparities favoring the Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of significant late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,343Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana 2nd District House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including strong showings by the party in recent presidential and congressional contests. Downing secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary, while Democrat Brian Miller prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Race ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, supported by limited general-election polling that shows double-digit advantages for the incumbent and substantial fundraising disparities favoring the Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of significant late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,343Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Downing, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana 2nd District House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including strong showings by the party in recent presidential and congressional contests. Downing secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary, while Democrat Brian Miller prevailed in a contested Democratic primary. Race ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, supported by limited general-election polling that shows double-digit advantages for the incumbent and substantial fundraising disparities favoring the Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of significant late developments such as scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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