Incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 3rd congressional district race due to the area's D+5 partisan voter index and his established incumbency following a 2024 victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns in Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties. Conaway advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a three-way contest. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive environment. A late national political surge, unexpected turnout surge among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific event could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-03 House Election Winner
NJ-03 House Election Winner
$32,025 KL.
$32,025 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Herb Conaway (D)
95%
Michael McGuire (R)
5%
$32,025 KL.
$32,025 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Herb Conaway (D)
$13,546 KL.
95%
Michael McGuire (R)
$18,479 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 3rd congressional district race due to the area's D+5 partisan voter index and his established incumbency following a 2024 victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns in Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties. Conaway advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a three-way contest. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive environment. A late national political surge, unexpected turnout surge among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific event could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,025Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 3rd congressional district race due to the area's D+5 partisan voter index and his established incumbency following a 2024 victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns in Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties. Conaway advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a three-way contest. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive environment. A late national political surge, unexpected turnout surge among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific event could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,025Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in the New Jersey 3rd congressional district race due to the area's D+5 partisan voter index and his established incumbency following a 2024 victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns in Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties. Conaway advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a three-way contest. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would indicate a competitive environment. A late national political surge, unexpected turnout surge among Republican voters, or unforeseen candidate-specific event could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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