Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in New York’s 15th Congressional District, a heavily Democratic seat in the Bronx rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. His incumbency since 2021, strong fundraising, and endorsements from party leaders have reinforced trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis and several minor-party or independent candidates. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Torres’s 76 percent share in 2024, underpin the current implied probability. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout for challengers could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-15 House Election Winner
NY-15 House Election Winner
$47,586 KL.
$47,586 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ritchie Torres (D)
98%
Stylo Sapaskis (R)
<1%
$47,586 KL.
$47,586 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ritchie Torres (D)
$27,077 KL.
98%
Stylo Sapaskis (R)
$20,509 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in New York’s 15th Congressional District, a heavily Democratic seat in the Bronx rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. His incumbency since 2021, strong fundraising, and endorsements from party leaders have reinforced trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis and several minor-party or independent candidates. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Torres’s 76 percent share in 2024, underpin the current implied probability. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout for challengers could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$47,586Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in New York’s 15th Congressional District, a heavily Democratic seat in the Bronx rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. His incumbency since 2021, strong fundraising, and endorsements from party leaders have reinforced trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis and several minor-party or independent candidates. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Torres’s 76 percent share in 2024, underpin the current implied probability. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout for challengers could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$47,586Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in New York’s 15th Congressional District, a heavily Democratic seat in the Bronx rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. His incumbency since 2021, strong fundraising, and endorsements from party leaders have reinforced trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Republican nominee Stylo Sapaskis and several minor-party or independent candidates. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Torres’s 76 percent share in 2024, underpin the current implied probability. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout for challengers could still alter the outcome before the November 3 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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