Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in congressional contests and his decisive primary victory, where he captured 79.2 percent against limited opposition. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, drew a solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting South Dakota's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum. Gronli, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former USDA official, faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2008. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health events, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$32,111 KL.
$32,111 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
4%
$32,111 KL.
$32,111 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
$24,423 KL.
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
$7,688 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in congressional contests and his decisive primary victory, where he captured 79.2 percent against limited opposition. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, drew a solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting South Dakota's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum. Gronli, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former USDA official, faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2008. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health events, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,111Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in congressional contests and his decisive primary victory, where he captured 79.2 percent against limited opposition. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, drew a solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting South Dakota's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum. Gronli, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former USDA official, faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2008. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health events, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,111Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in congressional contests and his decisive primary victory, where he captured 79.2 percent against limited opposition. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, drew a solidly Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting South Dakota's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum. Gronli, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former USDA official, faces structural headwinds in a district last won by Democrats in 2008. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health events, or national political realignments could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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