The Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state representative James Talarico and Republican state attorney general Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Paxton's May primary victory over four-term incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, shifted the contest into a more competitive matchup than many expected in the Republican-leaning state. Recent polling shows the candidates essentially even among likely voters, with Talarico performing strongly among independents and Hispanic voters while Paxton consolidates core Republican support. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and attacks on Paxton's past legal and ethical issues have offset the state's structural Republican advantage, while Paxton emphasizes cultural issues and benefits from outside spending. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Republican, with upcoming events including the Republican midterm convention in Dallas and potential debates likely to influence turnout and undecided voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$1,027,542 KL.
$1,027,542 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
51%
$1,027,542 KL.
$1,027,542 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$466,080 KL.
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
$561,462 KL.
51%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state representative James Talarico and Republican state attorney general Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Paxton's May primary victory over four-term incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, shifted the contest into a more competitive matchup than many expected in the Republican-leaning state. Recent polling shows the candidates essentially even among likely voters, with Talarico performing strongly among independents and Hispanic voters while Paxton consolidates core Republican support. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and attacks on Paxton's past legal and ethical issues have offset the state's structural Republican advantage, while Paxton emphasizes cultural issues and benefits from outside spending. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Republican, with upcoming events including the Republican midterm convention in Dallas and potential debates likely to influence turnout and undecided voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,027,542Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state representative James Talarico and Republican state attorney general Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Paxton's May primary victory over four-term incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, shifted the contest into a more competitive matchup than many expected in the Republican-leaning state. Recent polling shows the candidates essentially even among likely voters, with Talarico performing strongly among independents and Hispanic voters while Paxton consolidates core Republican support. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and attacks on Paxton's past legal and ethical issues have offset the state's structural Republican advantage, while Paxton emphasizes cultural issues and benefits from outside spending. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Republican, with upcoming events including the Republican midterm convention in Dallas and potential debates likely to influence turnout and undecided voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$1,027,542Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state representative James Talarico and Republican state attorney general Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Paxton's May primary victory over four-term incumbent John Cornyn, backed by a late endorsement from President Trump, shifted the contest into a more competitive matchup than many expected in the Republican-leaning state. Recent polling shows the candidates essentially even among likely voters, with Talarico performing strongly among independents and Hispanic voters while Paxton consolidates core Republican support. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and attacks on Paxton's past legal and ethical issues have offset the state's structural Republican advantage, while Paxton emphasizes cultural issues and benefits from outside spending. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Republican, with upcoming events including the Republican midterm convention in Dallas and potential debates likely to influence turnout and undecided voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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