Incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters due to its consistent partisan lean. McGuire secured his party’s nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary after entering Congress in 2025 following a Trump-backed primary victory the prior cycle. Democratic nominee and former Representative Tom Perriello won his primary decisively and maintains a fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand, yet recent polling shows the race remaining within or near the margin of error only under specific messaging conditions. McGuire’s refusal to debate pending an apology over stock-trading allegations has drawn attention but has not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$66,868 KL.
$66,868 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
John McGuire (R)
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
17%
$66,868 KL.
$66,868 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
John McGuire (R)
$32,613 KL.
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
$34,255 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters due to its consistent partisan lean. McGuire secured his party’s nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary after entering Congress in 2025 following a Trump-backed primary victory the prior cycle. Democratic nominee and former Representative Tom Perriello won his primary decisively and maintains a fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand, yet recent polling shows the race remaining within or near the margin of error only under specific messaging conditions. McGuire’s refusal to debate pending an apology over stock-trading allegations has drawn attention but has not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$66,868Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters due to its consistent partisan lean. McGuire secured his party’s nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary after entering Congress in 2025 following a Trump-backed primary victory the prior cycle. Democratic nominee and former Representative Tom Perriello won his primary decisively and maintains a fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand, yet recent polling shows the race remaining within or near the margin of error only under specific messaging conditions. McGuire’s refusal to debate pending an apology over stock-trading allegations has drawn attention but has not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$66,868Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John McGuire holds a strong position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters due to its consistent partisan lean. McGuire secured his party’s nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary after entering Congress in 2025 following a Trump-backed primary victory the prior cycle. Democratic nominee and former Representative Tom Perriello won his primary decisively and maintains a fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand, yet recent polling shows the race remaining within or near the margin of error only under specific messaging conditions. McGuire’s refusal to debate pending an apology over stock-trading allegations has drawn attention but has not altered the broader structural advantages favoring the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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