Longtime Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller. The district’s D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the market’s 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with forecasts projecting Larsen to exceed 60% in the November general election. Limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data reinforce trader positioning. A major scandal, acute health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$20,280 KL.
$20,280 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$20,280 KL.
$20,280 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,955 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$7,326 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller. The district’s D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the market’s 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with forecasts projecting Larsen to exceed 60% in the November general election. Limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data reinforce trader positioning. A major scandal, acute health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller. The district’s D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the market’s 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with forecasts projecting Larsen to exceed 60% in the November general election. Limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data reinforce trader positioning. A major scandal, acute health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen, who has represented Washington’s 2nd Congressional District since 2001, advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller. The district’s D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the market’s 94.5% consensus for a Democratic win. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, with forecasts projecting Larsen to exceed 60% in the November general election. Limited Republican infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data reinforce trader positioning. A major scandal, acute health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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