Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with active preparations for a mid-October public debut, underpins the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a late-September prospectus release ahead of investor marketing, positioning it well ahead in the regulatory and underwriting timeline. OpenAI filed days later and has since shifted internal expectations toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, heavy infrastructure commitments, and caution after SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. While Anthropic’s lead appears decisive, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, market turbulence, or a sudden acceleration by OpenAI could still alter sequencing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic
96% khả năng
$340,096 KL.
$340,096 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
96% khả năng
$340,096 KL.
$340,096 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with active preparations for a mid-October public debut, underpins the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a late-September prospectus release ahead of investor marketing, positioning it well ahead in the regulatory and underwriting timeline. OpenAI filed days later and has since shifted internal expectations toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, heavy infrastructure commitments, and caution after SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. While Anthropic’s lead appears decisive, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, market turbulence, or a sudden acceleration by OpenAI could still alter sequencing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$340,096Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with active preparations for a mid-October public debut, underpins the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a late-September prospectus release ahead of investor marketing, positioning it well ahead in the regulatory and underwriting timeline. OpenAI filed days later and has since shifted internal expectations toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, heavy infrastructure commitments, and caution after SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. While Anthropic’s lead appears decisive, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, market turbulence, or a sudden acceleration by OpenAI could still alter sequencing.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$340,096Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with active preparations for a mid-October public debut, underpins the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a late-September prospectus release ahead of investor marketing, positioning it well ahead in the regulatory and underwriting timeline. OpenAI filed days later and has since shifted internal expectations toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman’s $1 trillion valuation target, heavy infrastructure commitments, and caution after SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility. While Anthropic’s lead appears decisive, realistic variables such as extended SEC review, market turbulence, or a sudden acceleration by OpenAI could still alter sequencing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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