Skip to main content
icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名
政治·全球選舉

巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名

icon for 巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名
政治·全球選舉

巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名

魯拉 95.5%

弗拉維奧·波索納羅 1.5%

雷南·桑托斯 <1%

澤馬 <1%

Polymarket
最新

魯拉 95.5%

弗拉維奧·波索納羅 1.5%

雷南·桑托斯 <1%

澤馬 <1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 魯拉

魯拉

$5,641 交易量

96%

icon for 弗拉維奧·波索納羅

弗拉維奧·波索納羅

$382 交易量

2%

icon for 雷南·桑托斯

雷南·桑托斯

$267 交易量

<1%

icon for 澤馬

澤馬

$281 交易量

<1%

icon for 克拉麗安娜·巴勞

克拉麗安娜·巴勞

$267 交易量

<1%

icon for 赫茲·迪亞斯

赫茲·迪亞斯

$313 交易量

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$324 交易量

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$401 交易量

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$324 交易量

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$281 交易量

<1%

icon for 獸醫威爾遜·格拉西

獸醫威爾遜·格拉西

$280 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃德米爾松·科斯塔

埃德米爾松·科斯塔

$324 交易量

<1%

icon for 作家奧古斯托·庫里

作家奧古斯托·庫里

$324 交易量

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$9,408
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$9,408
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

相關

icon for 魯拉會在下一屆巴西總統大選中在帕拉伊巴獲得最多選票嗎？

魯拉會在下一屆巴西總統大選中在帕拉伊巴獲得最多選票嗎？

94%
是
icon for 魯拉是否會在2026年巴西總統大選首輪投票中獲得最多票數？

魯拉是否會在2026年巴西總統大選首輪投票中獲得最多票數？

90%
是
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?

96%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "魯拉" at 96%, followed by "弗拉維奧·波索納羅" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名" is "魯拉" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "弗拉維奧·波索納羅" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：伯南布哥州第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.