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政治·墨西哥

吉娃娃州長選舉贏家

icon for 吉娃娃州長選舉贏家
政治·墨西哥

吉娃娃州長選舉贏家

馬可·博尼利亞·門多薩 58%

克魯斯·佩雷斯·庫埃利亞 22%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 13%

胡利安·萊巴龍 11.1%

Polymarket

$15,046 交易量

馬可·博尼利亞·門多薩 58%

克魯斯·佩雷斯·庫埃利亞 22%

Andrea Chávez Treviño 13%

胡利安·萊巴龍 11.1%

Polymarket

$15,046 交易量

icon for 馬可·博尼利亞·門多薩

馬可·博尼利亞·門多薩

$4,916 交易量

58%

icon for 克魯斯·佩雷斯·庫埃利亞

克魯斯·佩雷斯·庫埃利亞

$2,678 交易量

22%

icon for Andrea Chávez Treviño

Andrea Chávez Treviño

$2,506 交易量

13%

icon for 胡利安·萊巴龍

胡利安·萊巴龍

$571 交易量

6%

icon for 馬丁·查帕羅·帕揚

馬丁·查帕羅·帕揚

$387 交易量

5%

icon for 阿爾弗雷多·洛索亞·桑蒂蘭

阿爾弗雷多·洛索亞·桑蒂蘭

$336 交易量

<1%

icon for Daniela Álvarez Hernández

Daniela Álvarez Hernández

$388 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬里奧·巴斯克斯·羅布萊斯

馬里奧·巴斯克斯·羅布萊斯

$336 交易量

<1%

icon for 耶穌·瓦倫西亞諾·加西亞

耶穌·瓦倫西亞諾·加西亞

$366 交易量

<1%

icon for Francisco Sánchez Villegas

Francisco Sánchez Villegas

$326 交易量

6%

icon for 路易斯·卡洛斯·阿列塔·拉維南特

路易斯·卡洛斯·阿列塔·拉維南特

$426 交易量

<1%

icon for 聖地亞哥·德拉佩尼亞·格拉赫達

聖地亞哥·德拉佩尼亞·格拉赫達

$386 交易量

<1%

icon for 吉爾伯托·洛亞·查維斯

吉爾伯托·洛亞·查維斯

$366 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞歷杭德羅·多明格斯·多明格斯

亞歷杭德羅·多明格斯·多明格斯

$328 交易量

<1%

icon for Graciela Ortiz González

Graciela Ortiz González

$346 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅薩娜·迪亞斯·雷耶斯

羅薩娜·迪亞斯·雷耶斯

$384 交易量

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza leads trader pricing at 58% as the designated PAN candidate following his August 2026 nomination, while Morena-aligned contenders including Cruz Pérez Cuéllar at 21.5% and Andrea Chávez Treviño at 12.5% trail amid an ongoing internal selection process for the 2027 gubernatorial contest. Chihuahua’s race stays tight because Morena and its PT-PVEM allies hold a consistent edge in recent state polling, yet the PAN benefits from incumbency advantages and unified backing behind Bonilla, whereas the opposition coalition has yet to finalize its standard-bearer. Key upcoming catalysts include Morena’s final nomination decision, any potential cross-party alliances, and the release of updated surveys that could shift implied probabilities before the June 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
交易量
$15,046
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Marco Bonilla Mendoza leads trader pricing at 58% as the designated PAN candidate following his August 2026 nomination, while Morena-aligned contenders including Cruz Pérez Cuéllar at 21.5% and Andrea Chávez Treviño at 12.5% trail amid an ongoing internal selection process for the 2027 gubernatorial contest. Chihuahua’s race stays tight because Morena and its PT-PVEM allies hold a consistent edge in recent state polling, yet the PAN benefits from incumbency advantages and unified backing behind Bonilla, whereas the opposition coalition has yet to finalize its standard-bearer. Key upcoming catalysts include Morena’s final nomination decision, any potential cross-party alliances, and the release of updated surveys that could shift implied probabilities before the June 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
交易量
$15,046
結束日期
2027-06-06
市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"吉娃娃州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬可·博尼利亞·門多薩" at 58%, followed by "克魯斯·佩雷斯·庫埃利亞" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "吉娃娃州長選舉贏家" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "吉娃娃州長選舉贏家," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "吉娃娃州長選舉贏家" is "馬可·博尼利亞·門多薩" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "克魯斯·佩雷斯·庫埃利亞" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "吉娃娃州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.