Recent polling and campaign momentum position the Istiqlal Party (PI), National Rally of Independents (RNI), and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) as the primary contenders for third place in Morocco’s September 23 House of Representatives elections, with trader prices reflecting their near parity after the 2021 results that delivered RNI 102 seats, PAM 87, and PI 81. PAM’s recent ground-level recruitment and visibility gains, combined with reported erosion in public confidence toward the RNI-led government, have narrowed gaps among the three coalition partners, while PI retains territorial strength but no longer leads outright projections. Local candidate selection, turnout patterns across urban and rural districts, and the proportional representation system’s emphasis on regional lists keep the ordering fluid, with any late shifts in voter mobilization or coalition signaling likely to reorder the final seat tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PI 35%
RNI 17%
PAM 11%
PJD 3.1%
$32,004 交易量
$32,004 交易量

PI
35%

RNI
17%

PAM
11%

PJD
3%

UC
1%

MP
<1%

USFP
<1%

PPS
<1%
PI 35%
RNI 17%
PAM 11%
PJD 3.1%
$32,004 交易量
$32,004 交易量

PI
35%

RNI
17%

PAM
11%

PJD
3%

UC
1%

MP
<1%

USFP
<1%

PPS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Recent polling and campaign momentum position the Istiqlal Party (PI), National Rally of Independents (RNI), and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) as the primary contenders for third place in Morocco’s September 23 House of Representatives elections, with trader prices reflecting their near parity after the 2021 results that delivered RNI 102 seats, PAM 87, and PI 81. PAM’s recent ground-level recruitment and visibility gains, combined with reported erosion in public confidence toward the RNI-led government, have narrowed gaps among the three coalition partners, while PI retains territorial strength but no longer leads outright projections. Local candidate selection, turnout patterns across urban and rural districts, and the proportional representation system’s emphasis on regional lists keep the ordering fluid, with any late shifts in voter mobilization or coalition signaling likely to reorder the final seat tallies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions