Jess Wilson, Victorian Liberal leader and opposition head since November 2025, leads trader pricing for the next premier ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election, reflecting consistent Coalition leads in two-party-preferred polling and her edge in preferred-premier surveys. Recent DemosAU and Resolve data show the Coalition ahead of Labor by margins around 55-45, with Wilson positioned as the primary challenger following Jacinta Allan’s July 2026 resignation and Ben Carroll’s subsequent elevation amid internal Labor pressure and construction-sector concerns. A three-way primary contest involving One Nation has emerged, complicating preference flows, while Wilson’s policy focus on justice reforms, bail changes, housing supply, and fiscal repair sustains momentum. Carroll and other Labor figures trail as alternatives if the incumbent government retains office or a hung parliament develops, with lower-probability outcomes tied to late swings or coalition arrangements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於傑斯·威爾森 63%
Ben Carroll 22%
Sonya Kilkenny 5.4%
雅辛塔·艾倫 5.4%
$16,091 交易量
$16,091 交易量
傑斯·威爾森
63%
Ben Carroll
22%
Sonya Kilkenny
5%
雅辛塔·艾倫
5%
Gabrielle Williams
4%
David Southwick
4%
華倫·皮克林
1%
Emma Kealy
<1%
史蒂夫·迪莫波洛斯
<1%
詹姆斯·紐伯里
<1%
丹尼·奧布萊恩
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
布萊德·巴廷
<1%
Sam Groth
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
傑斯·威爾森 63%
Ben Carroll 22%
Sonya Kilkenny 5.4%
雅辛塔·艾倫 5.4%
$16,091 交易量
$16,091 交易量
傑斯·威爾森
63%
Ben Carroll
22%
Sonya Kilkenny
5%
雅辛塔·艾倫
5%
Gabrielle Williams
4%
David Southwick
4%
華倫·皮克林
1%
Emma Kealy
<1%
史蒂夫·迪莫波洛斯
<1%
詹姆斯·紐伯里
<1%
丹尼·奧布萊恩
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
布萊德·巴廷
<1%
Sam Groth
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jess Wilson, Victorian Liberal leader and opposition head since November 2025, leads trader pricing for the next premier ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election, reflecting consistent Coalition leads in two-party-preferred polling and her edge in preferred-premier surveys. Recent DemosAU and Resolve data show the Coalition ahead of Labor by margins around 55-45, with Wilson positioned as the primary challenger following Jacinta Allan’s July 2026 resignation and Ben Carroll’s subsequent elevation amid internal Labor pressure and construction-sector concerns. A three-way primary contest involving One Nation has emerged, complicating preference flows, while Wilson’s policy focus on justice reforms, bail changes, housing supply, and fiscal repair sustains momentum. Carroll and other Labor figures trail as alternatives if the incumbent government retains office or a hung parliament develops, with lower-probability outcomes tied to late swings or coalition arrangements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions