Recent late-August 2026 polling shows the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31%, with Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered around 19% and 18% respectively, leaving those two parties in close contention for second and third place ahead of smaller parties clustered between 6-8%. The right-leaning Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition's advantage from roughly nine points in June to under five points, driven by modest gains for the Moderates amid campaign focus on security, immigration, crime, and living costs. This positioning leaves the Moderates as the consensus favorite to finish third if Sweden Democrats maintain their narrow edge for second, though final-week shifts in bloc momentum or turnout could still alter the order.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Moderate Party (M) 66%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 33%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
$58,537 交易量
$58,537 交易量
2026-09-12
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
33%
Moderate Party (M)
66%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 66%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 33%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
$58,537 交易量
$58,537 交易量
2026-09-12
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,472 交易量
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$10,008 交易量
33%
Moderate Party (M)
$21,361 交易量
66%
Centre Party (C)
$3,734 交易量
<1%
Left Party (V)
$4,779 交易量
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 交易量
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$3,997 交易量
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 交易量
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent late-August 2026 polling shows the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31%, with Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered around 19% and 18% respectively, leaving those two parties in close contention for second and third place ahead of smaller parties clustered between 6-8%. The right-leaning Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition's advantage from roughly nine points in June to under five points, driven by modest gains for the Moderates amid campaign focus on security, immigration, crime, and living costs. This positioning leaves the Moderates as the consensus favorite to finish third if Sweden Democrats maintain their narrow edge for second, though final-week shifts in bloc momentum or turnout could still alter the order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$58,537結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent late-August 2026 polling shows the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31%, with Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered around 19% and 18% respectively, leaving those two parties in close contention for second and third place ahead of smaller parties clustered between 6-8%. The right-leaning Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition's advantage from roughly nine points in June to under five points, driven by modest gains for the Moderates amid campaign focus on security, immigration, crime, and living costs. This positioning leaves the Moderates as the consensus favorite to finish third if Sweden Democrats maintain their narrow edge for second, though final-week shifts in bloc momentum or turnout could still alter the order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$58,537結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETRecent late-August 2026 polling shows the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 31%, with Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered around 19% and 18% respectively, leaving those two parties in close contention for second and third place ahead of smaller parties clustered between 6-8%. The right-leaning Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition's advantage from roughly nine points in June to under five points, driven by modest gains for the Moderates amid campaign focus on security, immigration, crime, and living costs. This positioning leaves the Moderates as the consensus favorite to finish third if Sweden Democrats maintain their narrow edge for second, though final-week shifts in bloc momentum or turnout could still alter the order.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions