Olivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the Best Alternative category, buoyed by her established crossover appeal, strong critical reception for the downtempo rock single from her 2026 album, and a visually striking music video. The tightly bunched field behind her—Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 20.5%, Tame Impala’s “Dracula” at 16.5%, Sombr’s “Homewrecker” at 12.5%, and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 12%—reflects dedicated fanbases and alternative credentials that could split votes among the seven nominees. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony airing live September 27, momentum from recent streaming data, social engagement, and any late industry buzz will likely determine the winner in this competitive, fan-influenced race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於VMA最佳替代品2026
VMA最佳替代品2026
The Cure（Olivia Rodrigo） 42%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots） 21%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan） 13%
Homewrecker（Sombr） 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Cure（Olivia Rodrigo）
42%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots）
21%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan）
13%
Homewrecker（Sombr）
12%
Dracula（Tame Impala）
11%
Fix Ur Face（MGK和Fred Durst）
6%
《Taxes》（Geese）
3%
The Cure（Olivia Rodrigo） 42%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots） 21%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan） 13%
Homewrecker（Sombr） 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Cure（Olivia Rodrigo）
$935 交易量
42%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots）
$224 交易量
21%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan）
$58 交易量
13%
Homewrecker（Sombr）
$61 交易量
12%
Dracula（Tame Impala）
$131 交易量
11%
Fix Ur Face（MGK和Fred Durst）
$411 交易量
6%
《Taxes》（Geese）
$138 交易量
3%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the Best Alternative category, buoyed by her established crossover appeal, strong critical reception for the downtempo rock single from her 2026 album, and a visually striking music video. The tightly bunched field behind her—Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 20.5%, Tame Impala’s “Dracula” at 16.5%, Sombr’s “Homewrecker” at 12.5%, and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 12%—reflects dedicated fanbases and alternative credentials that could split votes among the seven nominees. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony airing live September 27, momentum from recent streaming data, social engagement, and any late industry buzz will likely determine the winner in this competitive, fan-influenced race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,958結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the Best Alternative category, buoyed by her established crossover appeal, strong critical reception for the downtempo rock single from her 2026 album, and a visually striking music video. The tightly bunched field behind her—Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 20.5%, Tame Impala’s “Dracula” at 16.5%, Sombr’s “Homewrecker” at 12.5%, and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 12%—reflects dedicated fanbases and alternative credentials that could split votes among the seven nominees. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony airing live September 27, momentum from recent streaming data, social engagement, and any late industry buzz will likely determine the winner in this competitive, fan-influenced race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,958結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETOlivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” leads trader sentiment at 41.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner in the Best Alternative category, buoyed by her established crossover appeal, strong critical reception for the downtempo rock single from her 2026 album, and a visually striking music video. The tightly bunched field behind her—Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 20.5%, Tame Impala’s “Dracula” at 16.5%, Sombr’s “Homewrecker” at 12.5%, and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 12%—reflects dedicated fanbases and alternative credentials that could split votes among the seven nominees. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony airing live September 27, momentum from recent streaming data, social engagement, and any late industry buzz will likely determine the winner in this competitive, fan-influenced race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions