Trump’s second-term pattern of limited veto use, combined with Republican congressional majorities, underpins trader expectations that no formal veto will occur through December 31, 2026. He issued two vetoes in December 2025 on narrow measures, both sustained early the following year, but has since favored leverage tactics such as delaying signings over outright rejection. The clearest recent example came in June 2026, when Trump canceled plans to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed with veto-proof margins of 358-32 in the House and 85-5 in the Senate—to pressure lawmakers on the SAVE America Act voting reforms; the housing measure ultimately became law without his signature in July. With midterm pressures and ongoing legislative negotiations, traders view further restraint as the prevailing dynamic absent major overrides or new confrontations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
44% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
44% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump’s second-term pattern of limited veto use, combined with Republican congressional majorities, underpins trader expectations that no formal veto will occur through December 31, 2026. He issued two vetoes in December 2025 on narrow measures, both sustained early the following year, but has since favored leverage tactics such as delaying signings over outright rejection. The clearest recent example came in June 2026, when Trump canceled plans to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed with veto-proof margins of 358-32 in the House and 85-5 in the Senate—to pressure lawmakers on the SAVE America Act voting reforms; the housing measure ultimately became law without his signature in July. With midterm pressures and ongoing legislative negotiations, traders view further restraint as the prevailing dynamic absent major overrides or new confrontations.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
交易量
$5,316結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETThis market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump’s second-term pattern of limited veto use, combined with Republican congressional majorities, underpins trader expectations that no formal veto will occur through December 31, 2026. He issued two vetoes in December 2025 on narrow measures, both sustained early the following year, but has since favored leverage tactics such as delaying signings over outright rejection. The clearest recent example came in June 2026, when Trump canceled plans to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed with veto-proof margins of 358-32 in the House and 85-5 in the Senate—to pressure lawmakers on the SAVE America Act voting reforms; the housing measure ultimately became law without his signature in July. With midterm pressures and ongoing legislative negotiations, traders view further restraint as the prevailing dynamic absent major overrides or new confrontations.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,316結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETTrump’s second-term pattern of limited veto use, combined with Republican congressional majorities, underpins trader expectations that no formal veto will occur through December 31, 2026. He issued two vetoes in December 2025 on narrow measures, both sustained early the following year, but has since favored leverage tactics such as delaying signings over outright rejection. The clearest recent example came in June 2026, when Trump canceled plans to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed with veto-proof margins of 358-32 in the House and 85-5 in the Senate—to pressure lawmakers on the SAVE America Act voting reforms; the housing measure ultimately became law without his signature in July. With midterm pressures and ongoing legislative negotiations, traders view further restraint as the prevailing dynamic absent major overrides or new confrontations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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