Lula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 95.5%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 4.6%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 1.4%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔 <1%
$13,729 交易量
$13,729 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
96%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
5%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
<1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
<1%
泽马
<1%
萨玛拉
<1%
卢拉 95.5%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 4.6%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥 1.4%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔 <1%
$13,729 交易量
$13,729 交易量
2026-10-04
卢拉
$7,347 交易量
96%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$547 交易量
5%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
$1,083 交易量
1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$486 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$470 交易量
<1%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$492 交易量
<1%
帕布洛·马沙尔
$486 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$470 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$492 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$498 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
$478 交易量
<1%
泽马
$411 交易量
<1%
萨玛拉
$469 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$13,729结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$13,729结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETLula maintains a dominant position in Sergipe presidential polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing him at 53% in the first round against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19%, consistent with earlier state-level results exceeding 60%. This reflects the Northeast region's longstanding support for the PT and the incumbent president's approval ratings near 60%, alongside positive assessments of his administration. Traders price Lula's first-place finish at 95.5% based on these consistent leads and limited inroads by national challengers. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments, such as turnout changes among undecided voters or legal rulings affecting candidate eligibility ahead of the October 4 first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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