Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,179 交易量
$48,179 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·海姆斯（民主党）
98%
迈克尔·戈德斯坦（共和党）
2%
$48,179 交易量
$48,179 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·海姆斯（民主党）
$22,193 交易量
98%
迈克尔·戈德斯坦（共和党）
$25,986 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$48,179结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,179结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and his 61 percent share of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Himes faces minimal primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Republican nominee Michael Goldstein, who prevailed in the August primary, has raised far less and previously lost to Himes by wide margins. An independent candidate adds little competitive pressure. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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