Kat Cammack holds a commanding position in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. The incumbent advanced automatically after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Seth Harp prevailed in a fragmented August 18 primary but faces limited resources and name recognition against Cammack's established record and substantial fundraising lead. Historical results, including her 61.6% victory in 2024, reinforce trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. A significant national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and the November 3 general election timeline make major shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,972 交易量
$29,972 交易量
2026-11-02
卡特·卡马克（共和党）
94%
塞斯·哈普（民主党）
6%
$29,972 交易量
$29,972 交易量
2026-11-02
卡特·卡马克（共和党）
$11,696 交易量
94%
塞斯·哈普（民主党）
$18,276 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kat Cammack holds a commanding position in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. The incumbent advanced automatically after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Seth Harp prevailed in a fragmented August 18 primary but faces limited resources and name recognition against Cammack's established record and substantial fundraising lead. Historical results, including her 61.6% victory in 2024, reinforce trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. A significant national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and the November 3 general election timeline make major shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$29,972结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kat Cammack holds a commanding position in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. The incumbent advanced automatically after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Seth Harp prevailed in a fragmented August 18 primary but faces limited resources and name recognition against Cammack's established record and substantial fundraising lead. Historical results, including her 61.6% victory in 2024, reinforce trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. A significant national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and the November 3 general election timeline make major shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,972结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETKat Cammack holds a commanding position in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters. The incumbent advanced automatically after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Seth Harp prevailed in a fragmented August 18 primary but faces limited resources and name recognition against Cammack's established record and substantial fundraising lead. Historical results, including her 61.6% victory in 2024, reinforce trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset. A significant national Democratic wave, late scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and the November 3 general election timeline make major shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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