**Jack Doherty’s acceptance into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program after his November 2025 arrest on amphetamine possession, marijuana, and resisting-arrest charges has anchored trader consensus around an 89.8% implied probability of no prison time.** Prosecutors dropped the cannabis count, and first-offense diversion cases in Florida routinely end in charge dismissal without conviction or custody when participants complete the program. The market resolves on sentencing tied to those specific charges by October 31, 2026, giving the diversion outcome strong weight. His separate September 2026 misdemeanor domestic-battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale carries a maximum one-year county-jail exposure but falls outside this contract’s resolution criteria, leaving the low single-digit odds on any prison time largely unchanged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jack Doherty监狱时间?
无监禁 89.8%
少于2年 9.7%
5年以上 2.3%
2到5年 <1%
$22,897 交易量
$22,897 交易量
无监禁
90%
少于2年
10%
2到5年
1%
5年以上
2%
无监禁 89.8%
少于2年 9.7%
5年以上 2.3%
2到5年 <1%
$22,897 交易量
$22,897 交易量
无监禁
90%
少于2年
10%
2到5年
1%
5年以上
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Jack Doherty’s acceptance into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program after his November 2025 arrest on amphetamine possession, marijuana, and resisting-arrest charges has anchored trader consensus around an 89.8% implied probability of no prison time.** Prosecutors dropped the cannabis count, and first-offense diversion cases in Florida routinely end in charge dismissal without conviction or custody when participants complete the program. The market resolves on sentencing tied to those specific charges by October 31, 2026, giving the diversion outcome strong weight. His separate September 2026 misdemeanor domestic-battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale carries a maximum one-year county-jail exposure but falls outside this contract’s resolution criteria, leaving the low single-digit odds on any prison time largely unchanged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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