Dan Koh secured the Democratic nomination in Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1 after winning a crowded primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, lies in a district with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Koh’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional endorsements including from former President Biden, and the party’s historical dominance in Massachusetts House contests underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Jones, an Army veteran and attorney, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have long prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,183 交易量
$27,183 交易量
2026-11-02
丹·科（民主党）
96%
迈卡·琼斯（共和党）
3%
$27,183 交易量
$27,183 交易量
2026-11-02
丹·科（民主党）
$15,832 交易量
96%
迈卡·琼斯（共和党）
$11,351 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Koh secured the Democratic nomination in Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1 after winning a crowded primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, lies in a district with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Koh’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional endorsements including from former President Biden, and the party’s historical dominance in Massachusetts House contests underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Jones, an Army veteran and attorney, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have long prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,183结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Koh secured the Democratic nomination in Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1 after winning a crowded primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, lies in a district with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Koh’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional endorsements including from former President Biden, and the party’s historical dominance in Massachusetts House contests underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Jones, an Army veteran and attorney, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have long prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,183结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETDan Koh secured the Democratic nomination in Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District on September 1 after winning a crowded primary with roughly 42 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election against Republican Micah Jones. The open seat, vacated by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid, lies in a district with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Koh’s substantial fundraising advantage, institutional endorsements including from former President Biden, and the party’s historical dominance in Massachusetts House contests underpin trader consensus around a 95 percent implied probability of victory. Jones, an Army veteran and attorney, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have long prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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