Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August primary, establishing a commanding position ahead of the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive organizations and labor groups, have reinforced trader consensus on his prospects. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, significant campaign finance shifts, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$49,562 交易量
$49,562 交易量
2026-11-02
多纳文·麦金尼（民主党）
98%
T.P. Nykoriak（共和党）
<1%
$49,562 交易量
$49,562 交易量
2026-11-02
多纳文·麦金尼（民主党）
$29,323 交易量
98%
T.P. Nykoriak（共和党）
$20,239 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August primary, establishing a commanding position ahead of the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive organizations and labor groups, have reinforced trader consensus on his prospects. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, significant campaign finance shifts, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$49,562结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August primary, establishing a commanding position ahead of the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive organizations and labor groups, have reinforced trader consensus on his prospects. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, significant campaign finance shifts, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$49,562结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETDonavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August primary, establishing a commanding position ahead of the November general election. The district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive organizations and labor groups, have reinforced trader consensus on his prospects. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as unusually low turnout, significant campaign finance shifts, or unforeseen personal or legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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