Betty McCollum’s long incumbency since 2001 and the Minnesota 4th district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, anchor trader consensus around her reelection. The St. Paul-area seat delivered McCollum roughly 67-68% in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Wikstrom secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but has operated with limited resources and no competitive polling, limiting his path in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, yet current fundamentals leave little room for such shifts to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,286 交易量
$24,286 交易量
2026-11-02
贝蒂·麦考勒姆（民主党）
95%
保罗·维克斯特罗姆（共和党）
4%
$24,286 交易量
$24,286 交易量
2026-11-02
贝蒂·麦考勒姆（民主党）
$4,052 交易量
95%
保罗·维克斯特罗姆（共和党）
$20,235 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s long incumbency since 2001 and the Minnesota 4th district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, anchor trader consensus around her reelection. The St. Paul-area seat delivered McCollum roughly 67-68% in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Wikstrom secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but has operated with limited resources and no competitive polling, limiting his path in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, yet current fundamentals leave little room for such shifts to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$24,286结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Betty McCollum’s long incumbency since 2001 and the Minnesota 4th district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, anchor trader consensus around her reelection. The St. Paul-area seat delivered McCollum roughly 67-68% in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Wikstrom secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but has operated with limited resources and no competitive polling, limiting his path in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, yet current fundamentals leave little room for such shifts to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,286结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETBetty McCollum’s long incumbency since 2001 and the Minnesota 4th district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+18 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris’s 2024 margin, anchor trader consensus around her reelection. The St. Paul-area seat delivered McCollum roughly 67-68% in recent cycles, and all major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Wikstrom secured the Republican nomination in the August primary but has operated with limited resources and no competitive polling, limiting his path in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, yet current fundamentals leave little room for such shifts to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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