The All Progressives Congress maintains a commanding position in the 109-seat Nigerian Senate with 88 members following recent by-elections, while fielding candidates across every senatorial district in the Independent National Electoral Commission’s final 2027 list released in mid-September. This organizational reach, combined with incumbency advantages for figures such as Senate President Godswill Akpabio and deputy Barau Jibrin, underpins the elevated trader consensus around an APC plurality win on January 16, 2027. Fragmented opposition efforts by the Peoples Democratic Party, Nigeria Democratic Congress, and African Democratic Congress—each with narrower candidate slates and limited current representation—account for their lower implied probabilities, as does the absence of unified coalition momentum ahead of the general elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于全体进步大会党（APC） 75%
人民民主党（PDP） 11.4%
尼日利亚民主大会党（NDC） 8.3%
ADC 2.0%
最新
最新
2027-01-16
全体进步大会党（APC）
75%
人民民主党（PDP）
11%
尼日利亚民主大会党（NDC）
8%
ADC
2%
工党（LP）
<1%
新尼日利亚人民党（NNPP）
<1%
全体进步大会党（APC） 75%
人民民主党（PDP） 11.4%
尼日利亚民主大会党（NDC） 8.3%
ADC 2.0%
最新
最新
2027-01-16
全体进步大会党（APC）
$2,045 交易量
75%
人民民主党（PDP）
$2,434 交易量
11%
尼日利亚民主大会党（NDC）
$350 交易量
8%
ADC
$673 交易量
2%
工党（LP）
$314 交易量
<1%
新尼日利亚人民党（NNPP）
$253 交易量
<1%
National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.
If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).The All Progressives Congress maintains a commanding position in the 109-seat Nigerian Senate with 88 members following recent by-elections, while fielding candidates across every senatorial district in the Independent National Electoral Commission’s final 2027 list released in mid-September. This organizational reach, combined with incumbency advantages for figures such as Senate President Godswill Akpabio and deputy Barau Jibrin, underpins the elevated trader consensus around an APC plurality win on January 16, 2027. Fragmented opposition efforts by the Peoples Democratic Party, Nigeria Democratic Congress, and African Democratic Congress—each with narrower candidate slates and limited current representation—account for their lower implied probabilities, as does the absence of unified coalition momentum ahead of the general elections.
National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.
If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.
If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
交易量
$6,068结束日期
2027-01-16市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 5:59 PM ETNational Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.
If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).The All Progressives Congress maintains a commanding position in the 109-seat Nigerian Senate with 88 members following recent by-elections, while fielding candidates across every senatorial district in the Independent National Electoral Commission’s final 2027 list released in mid-September. This organizational reach, combined with incumbency advantages for figures such as Senate President Godswill Akpabio and deputy Barau Jibrin, underpins the elevated trader consensus around an APC plurality win on January 16, 2027. Fragmented opposition efforts by the Peoples Democratic Party, Nigeria Democratic Congress, and African Democratic Congress—each with narrower candidate slates and limited current representation—account for their lower implied probabilities, as does the absence of unified coalition momentum ahead of the general elections.
National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.
If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election.
If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
交易量
$6,068结束日期
2027-01-16市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 5:59 PM ETThe All Progressives Congress maintains a commanding position in the 109-seat Nigerian Senate with 88 members following recent by-elections, while fielding candidates across every senatorial district in the Independent National Electoral Commission’s final 2027 list released in mid-September. This organizational reach, combined with incumbency advantages for figures such as Senate President Godswill Akpabio and deputy Barau Jibrin, underpins the elevated trader consensus around an APC plurality win on January 16, 2027. Fragmented opposition efforts by the Peoples Democratic Party, Nigeria Democratic Congress, and African Democratic Congress—each with narrower candidate slates and limited current representation—account for their lower implied probabilities, as does the absence of unified coalition momentum ahead of the general elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题