The Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 37%
The Debut 12.3%
Obsession 12%
Digger 10%
$22,958 交易量
$22,958 交易量
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
37%
The Debut
12%
Obsession
12%
Digger
10%
Fjord
6%
The Invite
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Drama
4%
Josephine
4%
A Place in Hell
4%
Club Kid
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
8%
The Black Ball
8%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 37%
The Debut 12.3%
Obsession 12%
Digger 10%
$22,958 交易量
$22,958 交易量
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
$19,813 交易量
37%
The Debut
$153 交易量
12%
Obsession
$154 交易量
12%
Digger
$694 交易量
10%
Fjord
$1,423 交易量
6%
The Invite
$39 交易量
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$59 交易量
5%
The Drama
$39 交易量
4%
Josephine
$59 交易量
4%
A Place in Hell
$59 交易量
4%
Club Kid
$43 交易量
3%
The Odyssey
$59 交易量
3%
Elsinore
$39 交易量
2%
Fatherland
$39 交易量
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 交易量
8%
The Black Ball
$97 交易量
8%
Forgotten Island
$79 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$22,958结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22,958结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market shows a wide-open race driven by the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, with no dominant frontrunner yet. Wild Horse Nine holds the highest implied probability at 37%, ahead of Obsession at 12.5% and The Debut at 11.2%, while dozens of other titles trade at single-digit or lower odds. This reflects limited festival premieres, precursor signals, or guild momentum so far, leaving trader consensus shaped by speculative elements like writer-director pedigrees and genre potential rather than confirmed awards trajectories. Fall festivals and initial critical reception will likely introduce clearer momentum shifts ahead of the voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题