Peru's current administration under President Keiko Fujimori has explicitly ruled out any presidential pardon, commutation, or humanitarian clemency for former president Pedro Castillo, who is serving an 11-year sentence for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress. The Ministry of Justice's Presidential Pardons Commission has rejected or declared inadmissible multiple formal requests, citing failure to meet legal admissibility requirements under the constitution and regulations. Ongoing appeals, habeas corpus filings, and a separate corruption investigation with prison preventive extended into 2027 further limit executive relief options. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no pardon by year-end reflects these institutional and political barriers, though a successful constitutional court reversal or unforeseen medical qualification could still alter the outcome before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5% 概率
$46,251 交易量
$46,251 交易量
2026-12-31
5% 概率
$46,251 交易量
$46,251 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's current administration under President Keiko Fujimori has explicitly ruled out any presidential pardon, commutation, or humanitarian clemency for former president Pedro Castillo, who is serving an 11-year sentence for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress. The Ministry of Justice's Presidential Pardons Commission has rejected or declared inadmissible multiple formal requests, citing failure to meet legal admissibility requirements under the constitution and regulations. Ongoing appeals, habeas corpus filings, and a separate corruption investigation with prison preventive extended into 2027 further limit executive relief options. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no pardon by year-end reflects these institutional and political barriers, though a successful constitutional court reversal or unforeseen medical qualification could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$46,251结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's current administration under President Keiko Fujimori has explicitly ruled out any presidential pardon, commutation, or humanitarian clemency for former president Pedro Castillo, who is serving an 11-year sentence for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress. The Ministry of Justice's Presidential Pardons Commission has rejected or declared inadmissible multiple formal requests, citing failure to meet legal admissibility requirements under the constitution and regulations. Ongoing appeals, habeas corpus filings, and a separate corruption investigation with prison preventive extended into 2027 further limit executive relief options. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no pardon by year-end reflects these institutional and political barriers, though a successful constitutional court reversal or unforeseen medical qualification could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$46,251结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETPeru's current administration under President Keiko Fujimori has explicitly ruled out any presidential pardon, commutation, or humanitarian clemency for former president Pedro Castillo, who is serving an 11-year sentence for his 2022 attempt to dissolve Congress. The Ministry of Justice's Presidential Pardons Commission has rejected or declared inadmissible multiple formal requests, citing failure to meet legal admissibility requirements under the constitution and regulations. Ongoing appeals, habeas corpus filings, and a separate corruption investigation with prison preventive extended into 2027 further limit executive relief options. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no pardon by year-end reflects these institutional and political barriers, though a successful constitutional court reversal or unforeseen medical qualification could still alter the outcome before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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