Incumbent Dorothy McCabe holds the highest implied probability among named contenders in this October 26, 2026, municipal contest, reflecting her established record on housing supply, transit advocacy, and local economic initiatives since her 2022 victory. Shannon Weber, her 2022 runner-up in a contest decided by a few hundred votes, registers as the clearest alternative following her nomination filing. Late entrants Jeyas Balaskanthan, Jamie Hari, and Jerry Jiang add to a fragmented field after the August 21 nomination deadline, which can disperse support in first-past-the-post voting. With limited recent polling and modest campaign visibility so far, trader assessments show a relatively balanced distribution that leaves room for shifts from targeted outreach, endorsements, or turnout patterns in key wards ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Dorothy McCabe 40%
Shannon Weber 16.1%
Jeyas Balaskanthan 1.1%
Jamie Hari <1%
$14,253 交易量
$14,253 交易量
Dorothy McCabe
40%
Shannon Weber
21%
Jeyas Balaskanthan
1%
Jamie Hari
1%
Jerry Jiang
1%
Dorothy McCabe 40%
Shannon Weber 16.1%
Jeyas Balaskanthan 1.1%
Jamie Hari <1%
$14,253 交易量
$14,253 交易量
Dorothy McCabe
40%
Shannon Weber
21%
Jeyas Balaskanthan
1%
Jamie Hari
1%
Jerry Jiang
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Waterloo, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Waterloo, Ontario.
Incumbent Dorothy McCabe holds the highest implied probability among named contenders in this October 26, 2026, municipal contest, reflecting her established record on housing supply, transit advocacy, and local economic initiatives since her 2022 victory. Shannon Weber, her 2022 runner-up in a contest decided by a few hundred votes, registers as the clearest alternative following her nomination filing. Late entrants Jeyas Balaskanthan, Jamie Hari, and Jerry Jiang add to a fragmented field after the August 21 nomination deadline, which can disperse support in first-past-the-post voting. With limited recent polling and modest campaign visibility so far, trader assessments show a relatively balanced distribution that leaves room for shifts from targeted outreach, endorsements, or turnout patterns in key wards ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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