Harriet Hageman holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Wyoming U.S. Senate race because the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles, makes the open seat following Cynthia Lummis’s retirement a safe Republican hold. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support and fundraising advantages, building on her prior House win and alignment with state party priorities. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but faces structural barriers with no Democratic Senate victory in Wyoming in decades. Recent forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as health events or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, though none have emerged to shift current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,862 交易量
$16,862 交易量
2026-11-02
哈丽雅特·哈格曼（共和党）
96%
詹姆斯·W·伯德（民主党）
3%
$16,862 交易量
$16,862 交易量
2026-11-02
哈丽雅特·哈格曼（共和党）
$11,207 交易量
96%
詹姆斯·W·伯德（民主党）
$5,655 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Wyoming U.S. Senate race because the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles, makes the open seat following Cynthia Lummis’s retirement a safe Republican hold. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support and fundraising advantages, building on her prior House win and alignment with state party priorities. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but faces structural barriers with no Democratic Senate victory in Wyoming in decades. Recent forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as health events or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, though none have emerged to shift current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$16,862结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Wyoming U.S. Senate race because the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles, makes the open seat following Cynthia Lummis’s retirement a safe Republican hold. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support and fundraising advantages, building on her prior House win and alignment with state party priorities. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but faces structural barriers with no Democratic Senate victory in Wyoming in decades. Recent forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as health events or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, though none have emerged to shift current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,862结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETHarriet Hageman holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Wyoming U.S. Senate race because the state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles, makes the open seat following Cynthia Lummis’s retirement a safe Republican hold. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with strong support and fundraising advantages, building on her prior House win and alignment with state party priorities. Democrat James Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but faces structural barriers with no Democratic Senate victory in Wyoming in decades. Recent forecasts from multiple outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting these fundamentals. Late developments such as health events or major scandals could theoretically alter dynamics before November 3, though none have emerged to shift current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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