The DeCarley Perspective
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Strategy Idea...Bearish December Crude Oil Spread
The oil market is testing a critical pivot line.
Sep 2
The DeCarley Perspective...Are the grains following 2010?
Another failed grain rally, or is this for real?
Sep 1
4
August 2026
Strategy Idea...Short October micro oil with insurance
Headlines are bullish on oil, but we are seeing lower highs.
Aug 31
The DeCarley Perspective...Oil headlines are bullish, but price action isn’t
Fake news and supply data circulating in commodity markets are as old as time.
Aug 24
5
Strategy Idea...Buy December Corn Puts
The perfect storm of bullish news pushed corn to its trendline.
Aug 24
3
The DeCarley Perspective...First the Yen, then the Treasuries
It must be intervention season.
Aug 20
9
2
2
Strategy Idea...Sell mini soybeans with catastrophic insurance.
Jan beans are a "seasonal sell"
Aug 20
5
Strategy Idea...Nibble on bullish cattle spreads.
Cattle futures are reacting negatively to plant closures, but in the past these events have created short-term bottoms.
Aug 14
Strategy Idea...Cheap bearish gold plays
Gold is testing significant resistance; we think it will probably hold.
Aug 13
2
The DeCarley Perspective...Scanning for overcrowded futures trades
Crowded trades never stay that way forever.
Aug 11
2
Strategy Idea...Aggressive Copper Bearish Spread
Copper futures are near an all-time high; with specs long, can it hold?
Aug 6
PART 2 The DeCarley Perspective...Yentervention: What is it and why does it matter?
The impact on the equity market is messier and requires a more macro view.
Aug 4
5
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