Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open Senate seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, prevailing in a crowded field that included Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Tracy won his party's primary as a former state GOP chair. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2010. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural factors, including Stratton's fundraising edge and unified party support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the established dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,811 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,559 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open Senate seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, prevailing in a crowded field that included Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Tracy won his party's primary as a former state GOP chair. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2010. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural factors, including Stratton's fundraising edge and unified party support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the established dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$32,370শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open Senate seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, prevailing in a crowded field that included Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Tracy won his party's primary as a former state GOP chair. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2010. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural factors, including Stratton's fundraising edge and unified party support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the established dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$32,370শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean and the open Senate seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Don Tracy. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker, prevailing in a crowded field that included Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. Tracy won his party's primary as a former state GOP chair. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2010. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with these structural factors, including Stratton's fundraising edge and unified party support. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the established dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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