Meta’s internal codename “Watermelon” for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark drives current trader sentiment, with July 2026 reports from AI chief Alexandr Wang indicating the still-training model has reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks through roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend and rapid Muse Spark cadence—updates in July and August plus a September 2 roadmap mentioning bigger models—support expectations of an October public release tied to the consumer Hatch agent platform. Unverified claims, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 preview, and typical training-to-deployment timelines create uncertainty around slippage, while upcoming benchmark disclosures or launch announcements could shift odds on the October versus November windows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
5%
October 31
59%
November 30
86%
$4,490 Vol.
September 30
$3,022 Vol.
5%
October 31
$1,046 Vol.
59%
November 30
$423 Vol.
86%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s internal codename “Watermelon” for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark drives current trader sentiment, with July 2026 reports from AI chief Alexandr Wang indicating the still-training model has reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks through roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend and rapid Muse Spark cadence—updates in July and August plus a September 2 roadmap mentioning bigger models—support expectations of an October public release tied to the consumer Hatch agent platform. Unverified claims, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 preview, and typical training-to-deployment timelines create uncertainty around slippage, while upcoming benchmark disclosures or launch announcements could shift odds on the October versus November windows.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,490শেষ তারিখ
Nov 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s internal codename “Watermelon” for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark drives current trader sentiment, with July 2026 reports from AI chief Alexandr Wang indicating the still-training model has reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks through roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend and rapid Muse Spark cadence—updates in July and August plus a September 2 roadmap mentioning bigger models—support expectations of an October public release tied to the consumer Hatch agent platform. Unverified claims, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 preview, and typical training-to-deployment timelines create uncertainty around slippage, while upcoming benchmark disclosures or launch announcements could shift odds on the October versus November windows.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$4,490শেষ তারিখ
Nov 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Meta’s internal codename “Watermelon” for its next frontier large language model after Muse Spark drives current trader sentiment, with July 2026 reports from AI chief Alexandr Wang indicating the still-training model has reached parity with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 on unspecified internal benchmarks through roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend and rapid Muse Spark cadence—updates in July and August plus a September 2 roadmap mentioning bigger models—support expectations of an October public release tied to the consumer Hatch agent platform. Unverified claims, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 preview, and typical training-to-deployment timelines create uncertainty around slippage, while upcoming benchmark disclosures or launch announcements could shift odds on the October versus November windows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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