xAI’s latest Grok 4.7 delay announcement on September 11, citing extra reinforcement-learning tuning for response length and task rigor, has kept mid-September dates clustered tightly in trader sentiment. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, already trained on supplemental SpaceX data, faces pressure from expected Meta and OpenAI releases this month, prompting xAI to prioritize refinements over speed. Elon Musk’s prior 10-day target from September 2 pointed to September 12, but the fresh “few more days” update has shifted implied odds toward September 15–17 while leaving September 13–14 viable if tuning wraps quickly. Traders weigh these near-term catalysts against xAI’s history of slipping timelines and the absence of official benchmarks or model cards.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSeptember 16 37.7%
September 15 37.5%
September 17 37.0%
September 12 25.3%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
September 11
1%
September 12
25%
September 13
35%
September 14
32%
September 15
38%
September 16
38%
September 17
37%
September 18
35%
September 19
1%
September 20
<1%
September 21
<1%
September 22
3%
September 23
6%
September 24
3%
September 25
<1%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
16%
September 29
2%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
<1%
September 16 37.7%
September 15 37.5%
September 17 37.0%
September 12 25.3%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 11, 2026
September 11
$320 Vol.
1%
September 12
$558 Vol.
25%
September 13
$541 Vol.
35%
September 14
$205 Vol.
32%
September 15
$257 Vol.
38%
September 16
$215 Vol.
38%
September 17
$215 Vol.
37%
September 18
$437 Vol.
35%
September 19
$638 Vol.
1%
September 20
$523 Vol.
<1%
September 21
$518 Vol.
<1%
September 22
$353 Vol.
3%
September 23
$580 Vol.
6%
September 24
$353 Vol.
3%
September 25
$510 Vol.
<1%
September 26
$513 Vol.
<1%
September 27
$513 Vol.
<1%
September 28
$461 Vol.
16%
September 29
$387 Vol.
2%
September 30
$515 Vol.
1%
No release by September 30
$513 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI’s latest Grok 4.7 delay announcement on September 11, citing extra reinforcement-learning tuning for response length and task rigor, has kept mid-September dates clustered tightly in trader sentiment. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, already trained on supplemental SpaceX data, faces pressure from expected Meta and OpenAI releases this month, prompting xAI to prioritize refinements over speed. Elon Musk’s prior 10-day target from September 2 pointed to September 12, but the fresh “few more days” update has shifted implied odds toward September 15–17 while leaving September 13–14 viable if tuning wraps quickly. Traders weigh these near-term catalysts against xAI’s history of slipping timelines and the absence of official benchmarks or model cards.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,509শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI’s latest Grok 4.7 delay announcement on September 11, citing extra reinforcement-learning tuning for response length and task rigor, has kept mid-September dates clustered tightly in trader sentiment. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, already trained on supplemental SpaceX data, faces pressure from expected Meta and OpenAI releases this month, prompting xAI to prioritize refinements over speed. Elon Musk’s prior 10-day target from September 2 pointed to September 12, but the fresh “few more days” update has shifted implied odds toward September 15–17 while leaving September 13–14 viable if tuning wraps quickly. Traders weigh these near-term catalysts against xAI’s history of slipping timelines and the absence of official benchmarks or model cards.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$9,509শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...xAI’s latest Grok 4.7 delay announcement on September 11, citing extra reinforcement-learning tuning for response length and task rigor, has kept mid-September dates clustered tightly in trader sentiment. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, already trained on supplemental SpaceX data, faces pressure from expected Meta and OpenAI releases this month, prompting xAI to prioritize refinements over speed. Elon Musk’s prior 10-day target from September 2 pointed to September 12, but the fresh “few more days” update has shifted implied odds toward September 15–17 while leaving September 13–14 viable if tuning wraps quickly. Traders weigh these near-term catalysts against xAI’s history of slipping timelines and the absence of official benchmarks or model cards.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা