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Aug 31, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?

Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?

100%
96%
2
icon for Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?

87%
85%
3
icon for Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?

Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?

93%
81%
4
icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?

15%
35%
5
icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

5%
26%
6
icon for Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

17%
25%
7
icon for Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

49%
23%
8
icon for Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?

33%
21%
9
icon for Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?

48%
17%
10
icon for Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

46%
16%
11
icon for No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

53%
16%
12
icon for Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?

Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?

14%
13%
13
icon for Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

30%
13%
14
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

40%
13%
15
icon for Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?

Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?

82%
13%
16
icon for Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?

1%
10%
17
icon for Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

55%
9%
18
icon for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

7%
9%
19
icon for Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

9%
9%
20
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

44%
8%
21
icon for Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?

3%
8%
22
icon for Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

73%
8%
23
icon for Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?

20%
8%
24
icon for Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

26%
7%
25
icon for Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?

76%
7%