The Acre Senate race for first place remains exceptionally tight, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities around 28% to Márcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) as the top vote-getter, ahead of Gladson Cameli (PP) at 15%. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others through late August shows a fragmented field of eight candidates, with Cameli, Bittar, Rocha, and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error for the two seats. Each voter selects two senators on October 4, amplifying the impact of coalition strategies such as the Avança Acre alliance linking Cameli and Bittar. Low undecided shares in some surveys and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts driven by turnout, regional strongholds, or final voter consolidation among the leading contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMara Rocha 27.9%
Marcio Bittar 28%
Gladson Camelí 15.4%
Jorge Viana 2.1%
$39,977 Vol.
$39,977 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Mara Rocha
28%
Marcio Bittar
28%
Gladson Camelí
15%
Jorge Viana
2%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Petecão
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Mara Rocha 27.9%
Marcio Bittar 28%
Gladson Camelí 15.4%
Jorge Viana 2.1%
$39,977 Vol.
$39,977 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Mara Rocha
$6,605 Vol.
28%
Marcio Bittar
$15,549 Vol.
28%
Gladson Camelí
$11,597 Vol.
15%
Jorge Viana
$2,628 Vol.
2%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$668 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$772 Vol.
<1%
Petecão
$1,402 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$756 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains exceptionally tight, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities around 28% to Márcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) as the top vote-getter, ahead of Gladson Cameli (PP) at 15%. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others through late August shows a fragmented field of eight candidates, with Cameli, Bittar, Rocha, and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error for the two seats. Each voter selects two senators on October 4, amplifying the impact of coalition strategies such as the Avança Acre alliance linking Cameli and Bittar. Low undecided shares in some surveys and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts driven by turnout, regional strongholds, or final voter consolidation among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volumen
$39,977Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains exceptionally tight, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities around 28% to Márcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) as the top vote-getter, ahead of Gladson Cameli (PP) at 15%. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others through late August shows a fragmented field of eight candidates, with Cameli, Bittar, Rocha, and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error for the two seats. Each voter selects two senators on October 4, amplifying the impact of coalition strategies such as the Avança Acre alliance linking Cameli and Bittar. Low undecided shares in some surveys and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts driven by turnout, regional strongholds, or final voter consolidation among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$39,977Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Acre Senate race for first place remains exceptionally tight, with Polymarket traders assigning nearly identical implied probabilities around 28% to Márcio Bittar (PL) and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) as the top vote-getter, ahead of Gladson Cameli (PP) at 15%. Recent polling from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others through late August shows a fragmented field of eight candidates, with Cameli, Bittar, Rocha, and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads or technical ties within margins of error for the two seats. Each voter selects two senators on October 4, amplifying the impact of coalition strategies such as the Avança Acre alliance linking Cameli and Bittar. Low undecided shares in some surveys and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts driven by turnout, regional strongholds, or final voter consolidation among the leading contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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