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Technik·Wetter

AI data center in space by...?

icon for AI data center in space by...?
Technik·Wetter

AI data center in space by...?

$44,279 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$44,279 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$22,204 Vol.

2%

December 31, 2027

$22,075 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Major players including SpaceX, Blue Origin, Google, and Starcloud are advancing orbital AI compute to bypass terrestrial power and cooling limits for large language model training and inference. Starcloud demonstrated a single Nvidia H100 GPU in orbit on its November 2025 Starcloud-1 mission, successfully training a small model and running Gemini inference, while SpaceX detailed its AI1 satellite design in June 2026 targeting 150 kW peak compute and filed for up to one million satellites with deployment eyed as early as 2028. Google’s Project Suncatcher plans two TPU-equipped prototype satellites with Planet for early 2027 launches, and Blue Origin’s Project Sunrise filing covers 51,600 satellites. However, market resolution requires at least 100 data-center-grade accelerators on a launched spacecraft, a threshold no mission has yet met amid high launch costs, regulatory filings, and scaling challenges. Trader consensus reflects these near-term hurdles despite accelerating investment and technical proofs of concept.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$44,279
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028
Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Major players including SpaceX, Blue Origin, Google, and Starcloud are advancing orbital AI compute to bypass terrestrial power and cooling limits for large language model training and inference. Starcloud demonstrated a single Nvidia H100 GPU in orbit on its November 2025 Starcloud-1 mission, successfully training a small model and running Gemini inference, while SpaceX detailed its AI1 satellite design in June 2026 targeting 150 kW peak compute and filed for up to one million satellites with deployment eyed as early as 2028. Google’s Project Suncatcher plans two TPU-equipped prototype satellites with Planet for early 2027 launches, and Blue Origin’s Project Sunrise filing covers 51,600 satellites. However, market resolution requires at least 100 data-center-grade accelerators on a launched spacecraft, a threshold no mission has yet met amid high launch costs, regulatory filings, and scaling challenges. Trader consensus reflects these near-term hurdles despite accelerating investment and technical proofs of concept.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$44,279
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028
Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

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Haben Google und SpaceX vereinbart, bis zum 31. Dezember Rechenzentren im Weltraum zu errichten?

11%
Ja
icon for Werden zwei SpaceX Starships bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 aneinander andocken?

Werden zwei SpaceX Starships bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 aneinander andocken?

54%
Ja
icon for OpenAI $1B+ Börsengang vor 2027?

OpenAI $1B+ Börsengang vor 2027?

13%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„AI data center in space by...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „December 31, 2027" mit 18%, gefolgt von „December 31, 2026" mit 2%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 18¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 18% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „AI data center in space by...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $44.3K generiert, seit der Markt am May 14, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „AI data center in space by...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „AI data center in space by...?" ist „December 31, 2027" mit 18%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 18% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „December 31, 2026" mit 2%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „AI data center in space by...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.