Recent polling aggregates position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for second place in the Amazonas Senate race, reflecting his consistent performance in consolidated first- and second-choice vote shares across multiple institutes. Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintains an edge for the top spot in most surveys through interior strength, leaving Neto favored for the remaining vacancy due to robust Manaus backing and combined totals reaching 39-53% in late August and early September readings. Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) trail closely in the second-vote battle, with regional splits and undecided voters keeping the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus prices these patterns as the primary driver while assigning lower implied probabilities to other registered candidates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCapitão Alberto Neto 55%
Eduardo Braga 11.7%
Wilson Lima 6.0%
Plinio Valério 5.2%
$19,988 Vol.
$19,988 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
55%
Eduardo Braga
12%
Wilson Lima
6%
Plinio Valério
5%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 55%
Eduardo Braga 11.7%
Wilson Lima 6.0%
Plinio Valério 5.2%
$19,988 Vol.
$19,988 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$8,969 Vol.
55%
Eduardo Braga
$3,223 Vol.
12%
Wilson Lima
$4,127 Vol.
6%
Plinio Valério
$654 Vol.
5%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$758 Vol.
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
$496 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$776 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$498 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$486 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling aggregates position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for second place in the Amazonas Senate race, reflecting his consistent performance in consolidated first- and second-choice vote shares across multiple institutes. Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintains an edge for the top spot in most surveys through interior strength, leaving Neto favored for the remaining vacancy due to robust Manaus backing and combined totals reaching 39-53% in late August and early September readings. Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) trail closely in the second-vote battle, with regional splits and undecided voters keeping the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus prices these patterns as the primary driver while assigning lower implied probabilities to other registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volumen
$19,988Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling aggregates position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for second place in the Amazonas Senate race, reflecting his consistent performance in consolidated first- and second-choice vote shares across multiple institutes. Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintains an edge for the top spot in most surveys through interior strength, leaving Neto favored for the remaining vacancy due to robust Manaus backing and combined totals reaching 39-53% in late August and early September readings. Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) trail closely in the second-vote battle, with regional splits and undecided voters keeping the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus prices these patterns as the primary driver while assigning lower implied probabilities to other registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$19,988Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for second place in the Amazonas Senate race, reflecting his consistent performance in consolidated first- and second-choice vote shares across multiple institutes. Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintains an edge for the top spot in most surveys through interior strength, leaving Neto favored for the remaining vacancy due to robust Manaus backing and combined totals reaching 39-53% in late August and early September readings. Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) trail closely in the second-vote battle, with regional splits and undecided voters keeping the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus prices these patterns as the primary driver while assigning lower implied probabilities to other registered candidates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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