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Politik·Midterms

AZ-06 Wahlsieger

icon for AZ-06 Wahlsieger
Politik·Midterms

AZ-06 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$11,735 Vol.

Polymarket

$11,735 Vol.

JoAnna Mendoza (D)

$4,019 Vol.

83%

Juan Ciscomani (R)

$7,717 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**JoAnna Mendoza holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 6th congressional district, reflecting her fundraising edge, military background, and positioning in a competitive seat.** The Marine veteran and DCCC Red to Blue candidate has outraised incumbent Juan Ciscomani overall and posted strong early hauls that funded a robust campaign. Polling earlier in the cycle showed her narrowly ahead, and the district’s recent statewide Democratic performance has kept it in play despite Ciscomani’s prior narrow wins. A September 10 debate highlighted contrasts over healthcare costs, spending legislation, and constituent priorities, with Mendoza emphasizing affordability and veterans’ issues. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with the national midterm environment, more heavily than the official toss-up ratings from outlets like Cook. Early voting begins in October.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,735
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**JoAnna Mendoza holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for Arizona’s 6th congressional district, reflecting her fundraising edge, military background, and positioning in a competitive seat.** The Marine veteran and DCCC Red to Blue candidate has outraised incumbent Juan Ciscomani overall and posted strong early hauls that funded a robust campaign. Polling earlier in the cycle showed her narrowly ahead, and the district’s recent statewide Democratic performance has kept it in play despite Ciscomani’s prior narrow wins. A September 10 debate highlighted contrasts over healthcare costs, spending legislation, and constituent priorities, with Mendoza emphasizing affordability and veterans’ issues. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with the national midterm environment, more heavily than the official toss-up ratings from outlets like Cook. Early voting begins in October.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,735
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz AZ-07 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz AZ-07 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

96%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz AZ-05 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz AZ-05 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

92%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz AZ-02 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz AZ-02 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

69%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„AZ-06 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „JoAnna Mendoza (D)" mit 83%, gefolgt von „Juan Ciscomani (R)" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „AZ-06 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $11.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „AZ-06 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „AZ-06 Wahlsieger" ist „JoAnna Mendoza (D)" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Juan Ciscomani (R)" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „AZ-06 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.