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icon for Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas
Politik·US-Wahl

Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas

icon for Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas
Politik·US-Wahl

Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas

Polymarket

$1,027,542 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,027,542 Vol.

icon for James Talarico (D)

James Talarico (D)

$466,080 Vol.

51%

icon for Ken Paxton (R)

Ken Paxton (R)

$561,462 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.James Talarico and Ken Paxton remain locked in a toss-up for the Texas U.S. Senate seat, with recent polling aggregates showing the Democratic state representative edging or tying the Republican attorney general amid high outside spending and fundraising disparities. Paxton's May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, secured with a late Trump endorsement, positioned him as the nominee but revived scrutiny of his prior indictments and impeachment, limiting his appeal among independents. Talarico's strong performance among Hispanic voters and substantial campaign resources have kept the race competitive in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with upcoming debates and the Republican midterm convention offering potential catalysts for shifts in voter sentiment before November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$1,027,542
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.James Talarico and Ken Paxton remain locked in a toss-up for the Texas U.S. Senate seat, with recent polling aggregates showing the Democratic state representative edging or tying the Republican attorney general amid high outside spending and fundraising disparities. Paxton's May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, secured with a late Trump endorsement, positioned him as the nominee but revived scrutiny of his prior indictments and impeachment, limiting his appeal among independents. Talarico's strong performance among Hispanic voters and substantial campaign resources have kept the race competitive in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with upcoming debates and the Republican midterm convention offering potential catalysts for shifts in voter sentiment before November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$1,027,542
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „James Talarico (D)" mit 51%, gefolgt von „Ken Paxton (R)" mit 51%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 51¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas" ist „James Talarico (D)" mit 51%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ken Paxton (R)" mit 51%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Texas" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.