California’s 38th congressional district, redrawn after Proposition 50, features a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook PVI of D+8 to D+10 and roughly 45% Democratic voter registration versus 24% Republican. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced former U.S. Representative and Labor Secretary Hilda Solis (D) against psychologist Pedro Antonio Casas (R) for the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic given the district’s suburban Los Angeles and eastern Orange County composition, majority-Hispanic population, and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee minimal odds because structural partisan advantages and Solis’s profile create significant barriers, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or turnout anomaly could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-38 Wahlsieger
CA-38 Wahlsieger
$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
1%
$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$32,202 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$31,662 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district, redrawn after Proposition 50, features a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook PVI of D+8 to D+10 and roughly 45% Democratic voter registration versus 24% Republican. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced former U.S. Representative and Labor Secretary Hilda Solis (D) against psychologist Pedro Antonio Casas (R) for the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic given the district’s suburban Los Angeles and eastern Orange County composition, majority-Hispanic population, and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee minimal odds because structural partisan advantages and Solis’s profile create significant barriers, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or turnout anomaly could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$63,863Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district, redrawn after Proposition 50, features a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook PVI of D+8 to D+10 and roughly 45% Democratic voter registration versus 24% Republican. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced former U.S. Representative and Labor Secretary Hilda Solis (D) against psychologist Pedro Antonio Casas (R) for the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic given the district’s suburban Los Angeles and eastern Orange County composition, majority-Hispanic population, and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee minimal odds because structural partisan advantages and Solis’s profile create significant barriers, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or turnout anomaly could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$63,863Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 38th congressional district, redrawn after Proposition 50, features a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook PVI of D+8 to D+10 and roughly 45% Democratic voter registration versus 24% Republican. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced former U.S. Representative and Labor Secretary Hilda Solis (D) against psychologist Pedro Antonio Casas (R) for the November general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic given the district’s suburban Los Angeles and eastern Orange County composition, majority-Hispanic population, and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee minimal odds because structural partisan advantages and Solis’s profile create significant barriers, though a major scandal, sharp national shift, or turnout anomaly could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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