Chen Su-yueh holds an 80% implied probability in trader assessments for the Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting her position as the DPP nominee and consistent polling leads over rivals amid a fragmented field. Wei Ping-cheng, the KMT nominee, trails at 19% as internal party divisions persist, including the incumbent magistrate Wang Hui-mei’s repeated absence from his events following a contested nomination process that sidelined other contenders. Independent candidate Chiu Chien-fu registers at 2.4%, adding to vote-split risks after leaving the DPP earlier in the cycle. Recent registration activity through early September, alongside August polls showing Chen ahead by double digits, has reinforced the current market positioning ahead of the November vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertChen Su-yueh 80%
Wei Ping-cheng 19%
Chiu Chien-fu 2.4%
Lin Shih-hsien <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Chen Su-yueh
80%
Wei Ping-cheng
19%
Chiu Chien-fu
2%
Lin Shih-hsien
<1%
Huang Hsiu-fang
<1%
Hung Jung-chang
<1%
Chen Su-yueh 80%
Wei Ping-cheng 19%
Chiu Chien-fu 2.4%
Lin Shih-hsien <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Chen Su-yueh
$2,649 Vol.
80%
Wei Ping-cheng
$1,199 Vol.
19%
Chiu Chien-fu
$859 Vol.
2%
Lin Shih-hsien
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
Huang Hsiu-fang
$716 Vol.
<1%
Hung Jung-chang
$768 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh holds an 80% implied probability in trader assessments for the Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting her position as the DPP nominee and consistent polling leads over rivals amid a fragmented field. Wei Ping-cheng, the KMT nominee, trails at 19% as internal party divisions persist, including the incumbent magistrate Wang Hui-mei’s repeated absence from his events following a contested nomination process that sidelined other contenders. Independent candidate Chiu Chien-fu registers at 2.4%, adding to vote-split risks after leaving the DPP earlier in the cycle. Recent registration activity through early September, alongside August polls showing Chen ahead by double digits, has reinforced the current market positioning ahead of the November vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,556Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh holds an 80% implied probability in trader assessments for the Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting her position as the DPP nominee and consistent polling leads over rivals amid a fragmented field. Wei Ping-cheng, the KMT nominee, trails at 19% as internal party divisions persist, including the incumbent magistrate Wang Hui-mei’s repeated absence from his events following a contested nomination process that sidelined other contenders. Independent candidate Chiu Chien-fu registers at 2.4%, adding to vote-split risks after leaving the DPP earlier in the cycle. Recent registration activity through early September, alongside August polls showing Chen ahead by double digits, has reinforced the current market positioning ahead of the November vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$7,556Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Chen Su-yueh holds an 80% implied probability in trader assessments for the Changhua County Magistrate race, reflecting her position as the DPP nominee and consistent polling leads over rivals amid a fragmented field. Wei Ping-cheng, the KMT nominee, trails at 19% as internal party divisions persist, including the incumbent magistrate Wang Hui-mei’s repeated absence from his events following a contested nomination process that sidelined other contenders. Independent candidate Chiu Chien-fu registers at 2.4%, adding to vote-split risks after leaving the DPP earlier in the cycle. Recent registration activity through early September, alongside August polls showing Chen ahead by double digits, has reinforced the current market positioning ahead of the November vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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