Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois first at roughly 28-29 percent, leaving a tight contest for second among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in several September surveys after modest gains, while the CAQ has slipped slightly under new leader Christine Fréchette. Voter indecision remains elevated on cost-of-living and trade concerns, and regional patterns—particularly francophone support and urban-rural divides—continue to shape seat outcomes. With the October 5 election approaching and two leaders’ debates recently completed, further shifts in undecided voters or late campaign developments could widen or narrow the gap between the PLQ and CAQ for official opposition status.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPLQ 56%
CAQ 41%
PQ 7.5%
QS <1%
$26,147 Vol.
$26,147 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
PLQ
56%
CAQ
41%
PQ
7%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 56%
CAQ 41%
PQ 7.5%
QS <1%
$26,147 Vol.
$26,147 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
PLQ
$7,143 Vol.
56%
CAQ
$8,670 Vol.
41%
PQ
$6,190 Vol.
7%
QS
$1,717 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois first at roughly 28-29 percent, leaving a tight contest for second among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in several September surveys after modest gains, while the CAQ has slipped slightly under new leader Christine Fréchette. Voter indecision remains elevated on cost-of-living and trade concerns, and regional patterns—particularly francophone support and urban-rural divides—continue to shape seat outcomes. With the October 5 election approaching and two leaders’ debates recently completed, further shifts in undecided voters or late campaign developments could widen or narrow the gap between the PLQ and CAQ for official opposition status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$26,147Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois first at roughly 28-29 percent, leaving a tight contest for second among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in several September surveys after modest gains, while the CAQ has slipped slightly under new leader Christine Fréchette. Voter indecision remains elevated on cost-of-living and trade concerns, and regional patterns—particularly francophone support and urban-rural divides—continue to shape seat outcomes. With the October 5 election approaching and two leaders’ debates recently completed, further shifts in undecided voters or late campaign developments could widen or narrow the gap between the PLQ and CAQ for official opposition status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$26,147Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Québécois first at roughly 28-29 percent, leaving a tight contest for second among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec. The PLQ has edged ahead in several September surveys after modest gains, while the CAQ has slipped slightly under new leader Christine Fréchette. Voter indecision remains elevated on cost-of-living and trade concerns, and regional patterns—particularly francophone support and urban-rural divides—continue to shape seat outcomes. With the October 5 election approaching and two leaders’ debates recently completed, further shifts in undecided voters or late campaign developments could widen or narrow the gap between the PLQ and CAQ for official opposition status.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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