Florida's Republican tilt and registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5% over David Jolly at 18.5% in the November 3 general election. The state has elected only Republican governors since 1998, and active GOP voters now exceed Democrats by more than one million. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Jolly won the Democratic primary. Recent advertising focuses on affordability and property insurance costs, areas where Donalds attacks Jolly’s state fund proposal. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet markets continue to price in the structural Republican edge and historical voting patterns over individual surveys.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Florida
Gewinner der Gouverneurswahl in Florida
$62,289 Vol.
$62,289 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
82%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$62,289 Vol.
$62,289 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$29,059 Vol.
82%
David Jolly (D)
$33,230 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5% over David Jolly at 18.5% in the November 3 general election. The state has elected only Republican governors since 1998, and active GOP voters now exceed Democrats by more than one million. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Jolly won the Democratic primary. Recent advertising focuses on affordability and property insurance costs, areas where Donalds attacks Jolly’s state fund proposal. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet markets continue to price in the structural Republican edge and historical voting patterns over individual surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$62,289Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt and registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5% over David Jolly at 18.5% in the November 3 general election. The state has elected only Republican governors since 1998, and active GOP voters now exceed Democrats by more than one million. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Jolly won the Democratic primary. Recent advertising focuses on affordability and property insurance costs, areas where Donalds attacks Jolly’s state fund proposal. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet markets continue to price in the structural Republican edge and historical voting patterns over individual surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$62,289Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican tilt and registration advantage underpin trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5% over David Jolly at 18.5% in the November 3 general election. The state has elected only Republican governors since 1998, and active GOP voters now exceed Democrats by more than one million. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with endorsements from Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, while Jolly won the Democratic primary. Recent advertising focuses on affordability and property insurance costs, areas where Donalds attacks Jolly’s state fund proposal. A September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead among likely voters, yet markets continue to price in the structural Republican edge and historical voting patterns over individual surveys.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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