Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, her established profile as attorney general, and strong early positioning among party voters. Polling trends and fundraising patterns have reinforced trader consensus around her viability against Democratic challenger Angie Nixon, whose support remains limited in a battleground that has favored Republicans in Senate races. With the implied probability exceeding 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, health events, or a pronounced national Democratic surge could still shift dynamics before the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$110,520 Vol.
$110,520 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$110,520 Vol.
$110,520 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
$55,093 Vol.
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,426 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, her established profile as attorney general, and strong early positioning among party voters. Polling trends and fundraising patterns have reinforced trader consensus around her viability against Democratic challenger Angie Nixon, whose support remains limited in a battleground that has favored Republicans in Senate races. With the implied probability exceeding 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, health events, or a pronounced national Democratic surge could still shift dynamics before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$110,520Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, her established profile as attorney general, and strong early positioning among party voters. Polling trends and fundraising patterns have reinforced trader consensus around her viability against Democratic challenger Angie Nixon, whose support remains limited in a battleground that has favored Republicans in Senate races. With the implied probability exceeding 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, health events, or a pronounced national Democratic surge could still shift dynamics before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$110,520Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, her established profile as attorney general, and strong early positioning among party voters. Polling trends and fundraising patterns have reinforced trader consensus around her viability against Democratic challenger Angie Nixon, whose support remains limited in a battleground that has favored Republicans in Senate races. With the implied probability exceeding 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, health events, or a pronounced national Democratic surge could still shift dynamics before the general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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