Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 20. September?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 20. September?
24°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,467 Vol.
$40,467 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Ja
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
24°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,467 Vol.
$40,467 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
18°C oder darunter
$5,679 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$1,391 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$337 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$1,600 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$2,078 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$6,851 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$9,894 Vol.
Ja
25°C
$6,259 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$3,665 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$1,682 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$1,031 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$40,467Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,467Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Multiple weather models and observational updates, including GFS data and station guidance, converged on a daily maximum of 24°C in Munich on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation. This value sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1°C yet aligns with current mild autumn conditions and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 24°C reflects this agreement across sources, with official daily maximums typically derived from calibrated surface observations. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted late-day surge or station-specific microclimate deviation exceeding normal measurement uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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