**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.** National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision. The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 31. August?
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F oder weniger <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$66,273 Vol.
$66,273 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
73°F oder weniger
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Ja
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92°F oder höher
Nein
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F oder weniger <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$66,273 Vol.
$66,273 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
73°F oder weniger
$3,381 Vol.
Nein
74-75°F
$12,490 Vol.
Nein
76-77°F
$14,585 Vol.
Ja
78-79°F
$11,158 Vol.
Nein
80-81°F
$10,371 Vol.
Nein
82-83°F
$5,737 Vol.
Nein
84-85°F
$3,979 Vol.
Nein
86-87°F
$565 Vol.
Nein
88-89°F
$360 Vol.
Nein
90-91°F
$2,509 Vol.
Nein
92°F oder höher
$1,138 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.**
National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision.
The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$66,273Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.**
National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision.
The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$66,273Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.** National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision. The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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