Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising edge exceeding $68 million in cash on hand compared to Republican Darren Bailey's roughly $389,000, and favorable nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 53 percent of the vote in a rematch of the 2022 election, where Pritzker prevailed by double digits, but recent polling shows Pritzker maintaining leads near 20 points. A September Trump endorsement of Bailey has not altered trader consensus, as Illinois voters have repeatedly favored Democratic statewide candidates. Factors that could still narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in downstate areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Illinois
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.

JB Pritzker (D)
97%

Darren Bailey (R)
2%
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.

JB Pritzker (D)
97%

Darren Bailey (R)
2%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising edge exceeding $68 million in cash on hand compared to Republican Darren Bailey's roughly $389,000, and favorable nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with 53 percent of the vote in a rematch of the 2022 election, where Pritzker prevailed by double digits, but recent polling shows Pritzker maintaining leads near 20 points. A September Trump endorsement of Bailey has not altered trader consensus, as Illinois voters have repeatedly favored Democratic statewide candidates. Factors that could still narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in downstate areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen