Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure and the Massachusetts 2nd District's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democrat ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, and McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate has filed, continuing a pattern where Democrats have held every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. A late-emerging credible GOP contender, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting McGovern, or an unusually sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain rare given the district's structural fundamentals and limited recent movement in the race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-02 Wahlsieger
MA-02 Wahlsieger
$72,699 Vol.
$72,699 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$72,699 Vol.
$72,699 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$37,471 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure and the Massachusetts 2nd District's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democrat ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, and McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate has filed, continuing a pattern where Democrats have held every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. A late-emerging credible GOP contender, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting McGovern, or an unusually sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain rare given the district's structural fundamentals and limited recent movement in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$72,699Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure and the Massachusetts 2nd District's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democrat ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, and McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate has filed, continuing a pattern where Democrats have held every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. A late-emerging credible GOP contender, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting McGovern, or an unusually sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain rare given the district's structural fundamentals and limited recent movement in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$72,699Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim McGovern's long tenure and the Massachusetts 2nd District's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Democrat ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, and McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 primary with 99.6 percent of the vote. No Republican candidate has filed, continuing a pattern where Democrats have held every Massachusetts House seat since 1994. A late-emerging credible GOP contender, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting McGovern, or an unusually sharp national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain rare given the district's structural fundamentals and limited recent movement in the race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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