Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place in the 395-seat House of Representatives among the three governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal—following their 2021 results of 102, 87, and 81 seats. Recent candidate filings, including Fouzi Lekjaa’s high-profile move to PAM and cross-party defections, have intensified competition within the alliance while parties converge on social policy priorities such as purchasing power, healthcare, education, and youth employment. Low public trust, especially among younger voters, limited registration in key demographics, and the short official campaign window starting September 10 add uncertainty to mobilization and local constituency outcomes. These factors sustain close implied probabilities among the leading contenders, with separation likely to hinge on regional organizational strength and last-minute shifts in turnout or alliances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPAM 35%
RNI 34%
PI 29.7%
UC 2.0%
$31,491 Vol.
$31,491 Vol.

PAM
35%

RNI
34%

PI
30%

UC
2%

USFP
1%

PPS
1%

PJD
1%

MP
<1%
PAM 35%
RNI 34%
PI 29.7%
UC 2.0%
$31,491 Vol.
$31,491 Vol.

PAM
35%

RNI
34%

PI
30%

UC
2%

USFP
1%

PPS
1%

PJD
1%

MP
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place in the 395-seat House of Representatives among the three governing coalition parties—RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal—following their 2021 results of 102, 87, and 81 seats. Recent candidate filings, including Fouzi Lekjaa’s high-profile move to PAM and cross-party defections, have intensified competition within the alliance while parties converge on social policy priorities such as purchasing power, healthcare, education, and youth employment. Low public trust, especially among younger voters, limited registration in key demographics, and the short official campaign window starting September 10 add uncertainty to mobilization and local constituency outcomes. These factors sustain close implied probabilities among the leading contenders, with separation likely to hinge on regional organizational strength and last-minute shifts in turnout or alliances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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