Microsoft’s fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, featuring 43% Azure growth and the first $100 billion annual run rate, along with expanding Copilot adoption, drove a sharp post-earnings rally that lifted shares from sub-$400 levels into the $490–$510 range by late August. Recent developments, including new AI partnerships such as the Humain collaboration and a dedicated Microsoft 365 AI roadmap, reinforced enterprise demand and monetization visibility, supporting trader consensus around these bins. With the stock consolidating near $500 amid broader software-sector strength and analyst targets clustered near $560, the market-implied odds reflect ongoing AI tailwinds tempered by typical post-surge digestion and macro uncertainty ahead of upcoming data releases.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$490-$500 100.0%
<$470 <1%
$470-$480 <1%
$480-$490 <1%
$5,142 Vol.
$5,142 Vol.
<$470
No
$470-$480
No
$480-$490
No
$490-$500
Yes
$500-$510
No
$510-$520
No
$520-$530
No
$530-$540
No
$540-$550
No
$550-$560
No
>$560
No
$490-$500 100.0%
<$470 <1%
$470-$480 <1%
$480-$490 <1%
$5,142 Vol.
$5,142 Vol.
<$470
No
$470-$480
No
$480-$490
No
$490-$500
Yes
$500-$510
No
$510-$520
No
$520-$530
No
$530-$540
No
$540-$550
No
$550-$560
No
>$560
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Microsoft’s fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results, featuring 43% Azure growth and the first $100 billion annual run rate, along with expanding Copilot adoption, drove a sharp post-earnings rally that lifted shares from sub-$400 levels into the $490–$510 range by late August. Recent developments, including new AI partnerships such as the Humain collaboration and a dedicated Microsoft 365 AI roadmap, reinforced enterprise demand and monetization visibility, supporting trader consensus around these bins. With the stock consolidating near $500 amid broader software-sector strength and analyst targets clustered near $560, the market-implied odds reflect ongoing AI tailwinds tempered by typical post-surge digestion and macro uncertainty ahead of upcoming data releases.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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